Description

This analysis provides a forecast of KAS prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-05-18 0.097038 0.107667 0.118482 0.130281 0.142762 0.155546 0.169603
2025-05-25 0.080307 0.096479 0.113681 0.133211 0.154640 0.177319 0.203018
2025-06-01 0.065777 0.084764 0.105746 0.130353 0.158131 0.188259 0.223150
2025-06-08 0.054948 0.075583 0.099188 0.127660 0.160577 0.196993 0.239896
2025-06-15 0.049251 0.071585 0.097873 0.130297 0.168478 0.211354 0.262512
2025-06-22 0.043896 0.067370 0.095773 0.131548 0.174386 0.223139 0.281959
2025-06-29 0.041211 0.066164 0.097042 0.136584 0.184550 0.239695 0.306782
2025-07-06 0.036963 0.062521 0.094962 0.137274 0.189325 0.249819 0.324060
2025-07-13 0.036880 0.064351 0.099745 0.146396 0.204242 0.271877 0.355285
2025-07-20 0.032033 0.059253 0.095307 0.143735 0.204636 0.276597 0.366090
2025-07-27 0.030434 0.058571 0.096528 0.148146 0.213641 0.291549 0.388944
2025-08-03 0.027876 0.056277 0.095439 0.149462 0.218719 0.301724 0.406104
2025-08-10 0.026000 0.055047 0.095961 0.153179 0.227241 0.316630 0.429649
2025-08-17 0.023749 0.053088 0.095414 0.155497 0.234081 0.329638 0.451149
2025-08-24 0.020076 0.048489 0.090863 0.152240 0.233629 0.333565 0.461588
2025-08-31 0.016922 0.044360 0.086699 0.149267 0.233351 0.337563 0.472001
2025-09-07 0.015608 0.043247 0.086868 0.152162 0.240651 0.350960 0.493880
2025-09-14 0.014053 0.041526 0.086004 0.153534 0.245900 0.361763 0.512579
2025-09-21 0.013576 0.041756 0.088098 0.159059 0.256646 0.379511 0.539874
2025-09-28 0.012113 0.039926 0.086887 0.159816 0.261006 0.389172 0.557185
2025-10-05 0.012658 0.042132 0.092082 0.169804 0.277776 0.414641 0.594165
2025-10-12 0.010628 0.038866 0.088409 0.166893 0.277141 0.417925 0.603580
2025-10-19 0.010201 0.038914 0.090064 0.171717 0.286956 0.434568 0.629661